Calculate and plot the Monte Carlo error

Calculate, print and plot the Monte Carlo error of the samples from a 'JointAI' model, combining the samples from all MCMC chains.

Usage

MC_error(x, subset = NULL, exclude_chains = NULL, start = NULL,
  end = NULL, thin = NULL, digits = 2, warn = TRUE, mess = TRUE, ...)

# S3 method for class 'MCElist'
plot(x, data_scale = TRUE, plotpars = NULL,
  ablinepars = list(v = 0.05), minlength = 20, ...)

Arguments

x

object inheriting from class 'JointAI'

subset

subset of parameters/variables/nodes (columns in the MCMC sample). Follows the same principle as the argument monitor_params in *_imp.

exclude_chains

optional vector of the index numbers of chains that should be excluded

start

the first iteration of interest (see window.mcmc)

end

the last iteration of interest (see window.mcmc)

thin

thinning interval (integer; see window.mcmc). For example, thin = 1 (default) will keep the MCMC samples from all iterations; thin = 5 would only keep every 5th iteration.

digits

number of digits for the printed output

warn

logical; should warnings be given? Default is TRUE.

mess

logical; should messages be given? Default is TRUE.

...

Arguments passed on to mcmcse::mcse.mat

size: represents the batch size in “bm” and the truncation point in “bartlett” and “tukey”. Default is NULL which implies that an optimal batch size is calculated using the batchSize function. Can take character values of “sqroot” and “cuberoot” or any numeric value between 1 and n/2. “sqroot” means size is \(\lfloor n^{1/2} \rfloor\) and “cuberoot” means size is \(\lfloor n^{1/3} \rfloor\).
g: a function such that \(E(g(x))\) is the quantity of interest. The default is NULL, which causes the identity function to be used.
method: any of “bm”,“obm”,“bartlett”, “tukey”. “bm” represents batch means estimator, “obm” represents overlapping batch means estimator with, “bartlett” and “tukey” represents the modified-Bartlett window and the Tukey-Hanning windows for spectral variance estimators.
r: The lugsail parameters (r) that converts a lag window into its lugsail equivalent. Larger values of r will typically imply less underestimation of “cov”, but higher variability of the estimator. Default is r = 3 and r = 1,2 are also good choices although may lead to underestimates of the variance. r > 5 is not recommended.

data_scale

logical; show the Monte Carlo error of the sample transformed back to the scale of the data (TRUE) or on the sampling scale (this requires the argument keep_scaled_mcmc = TRUE to be set when fitting the model)

plotpars

optional; list of parameters passed to plot()

ablinepars

optional; list of parameters passed to abline()

minlength

number of characters the variable names are abbreviated to

Value

An object of class MCElist with elements unscaled, scaled and digits. The first two are matrices with columns est (posterior mean), MCSE (Monte Carlo error), SD (posterior standard deviation) and MCSE/SD (Monte Carlo error divided by post. standard deviation.)

Functions

plot(MCElist): plot Monte Carlo error

Note

Lesaffre & Lawson (2012; p. 195) suggest the Monte Carlo error of a parameter should not be more than 5% of the posterior standard deviation of this parameter (i.e., \(MCSE/SD \le 0.05\)).

Long variable names:
The default plot margins may not be wide enough when variable names are longer than a few characters. The plot margin can be adjusted (globally) using the argument "mar" in par.

References

Lesaffre, E., & Lawson, A. B. (2012). Bayesian Biostatistics. John Wiley & Sons.

Examples


if (FALSE) { # \dontrun{

mod <- lm_imp(y ~ C1 + C2 + M2, data = wideDF, n.iter = 100)

MC_error(mod)

plot(MC_error(mod), ablinepars = list(lty = 2),
     plotpars = list(pch = 19, col = 'blue'))
} # }